DEPARTMENT OF WAR — STRATEGIC COMMAND DASHBOARD

UNCLASSIFIED // PUBLIC SOURCES As of 20 MAR 2026
40K
155mm Shells / Month
Target: 100K — 60% shortfall
Natl Defense Mag
~295
US Navy Battle Force Ships
vs. PLAN ~395 combat vessels
CRS RL33153
72%
Rare Earth China Dependency
Export controls in effect since Apr 2025
CSIS
$848B
FY2026 DoD Budget
+$156B reconciliation supplemental
CRS R48860
19K
Missiles/Year (Lockheed)
2x pre-pandemic levels
Lockheed Martin
17mo
Columbia-Class Delay
First SSBN retires 2027
Defense News
Production vs. Requirement — Critical Munitions
Current monthly/annual rates vs. stated requirements
Sources: Natl Defense Mag (155mm) Breaking Defense (155mm) Lockheed Martin (missiles) Defence Security Asia
Theatre Threat Level Assessment
Composite risk score across three active theatres
Sources: CSIS ChinaPower (Indo-Pac) Euronews (Ukraine ammo) USNI News (Middle East)
Strategic Decision Matrix — Where to Focus
Risk severity vs. investment gap across supply chain domains. Bubble size = program cost ($B). Hover for recommended actions.
Sources: CRS RL33153 (subs) CSIS (rare earths) Breaking Defense (SRM) Microchip USA (semis) GAO (supply chain)
2
Solid Rocket Motor Makers
Down from 6 in the 1990s
Breaking Defense
1
US Ammonium Perchlorate Source
AMPAC — single point of failure
Congress.gov S.5556
~1.2
Virginia-Class Subs / Year
Goal: 2/year for AUKUS
USNI News
230x
China Shipbuilding Advantage
Gross tonnage capacity ratio
CBO
Current Production Pipeline vs. Projected Need (2026-2031)
Dark bar = current annual rate, faint fill = funded pipeline, dashed line = 100% target. Red/amber = shortfall.
Sources: Natl Defense Mag (155mm) Lockheed Martin (missiles) Breaking Defense (FY26 budget) USNI News (subs) Army Recognition (Tamir)
Sole-Source Vulnerability Map
Critical items with single or dual suppliers — each a potential cascading failure
Sources: Federal News Network GAO-25-107283 Breaking Defense (SRM) CSIS (rare earths)
Workforce Gap — Defense Industrial Base
3.8M manufacturing jobs to fill by 2033; 56% of A&D firms can't hire
Sources: MADI Corp (A&D labor) McKinsey (shipbuilding) GAO
$295B
FY26 Procurement + RDT&E
Base budget allocation
Breaking Defense
$156B
Reconciliation Supplemental
P.L. 119-21 — through FY2029
CRS IN12580
$47.3B
Total Shipbuilding
Base $20.8B + Recon $26.5B
Breaking Defense
$20.7B
Munitions & Industrial Base
Reconciliation allocation
CRS R48860
What to Request from Congress — Priority Procurement Gaps
Identified shortfalls requiring additional congressional authorization and funding
FY2026 Procurement by Category
Base budget + reconciliation adds ($ billions)
Sources: Breaking Defense (FY26) CRS R48860 CRS IN12580 (recon)
Multi-Year Procurement Authorizations
8 systems authorized for multi-year buys — stabilizes industrial base
Sources: Breaking Defense (reconciliation) CRS IN12580
3D Theatre Risk Visualization
Orbit: drag | Zoom: scroll | Click hotspot for details
Risk Hotspots
Critical (Active Conflict)
High (Escalatory)
Moderate (Deterrence)
Supply Route
Column height = risk severity
Pulse rate = timeline urgency
Sources: CSIS ChinaPower AEI Taiwan Update DoD China Military Power 2025 Euronews (NATO ammo) PBS (Iran nuclear)
Indo-Pacific Theatre
Risk Level: CRITICAL
3,764 PLA air incursions (2025, +22% YoY)
11 PLAN vessels entered Taiwan buffer zone (Dec 2025)
395 PLAN combat vessels vs US ~295
163 South China Sea operations (record)
SSBN gap risk from 2027
Sources: CSIS ChinaPower Navy Lookout (AUKUS)
Ukraine Theatre
Risk Level: HIGH
5:1 Russian artillery firing advantage
4.5M Russian shells/year production
1.2M NATO combined shell output
1 TNT factory in all of Europe
10yr Patriot backlog
Sources: Atlas Institute Lawfare
Middle East Theatre
Risk Level: HIGH
Jun 2025 Israel-Iran 12-day war
3 Iranian nuclear sites struck
$8.7B US air defense aid to Israel
Op Rough Rider 1,100+ strikes on Houthis
Interceptor inventory depleted
Sources: Washington Institute Army Recognition
Dynamic Risk Materialization Timeline (2026-2040)
When specific supply chain and theatre risks become acute — organized by year and domain
Sources: Defense News (Columbia delay) 19FortyFive (Columbia) ainvest (DFARS 2027) Rare Earth Exchanges CRS RL33153 (Navy ships)
Indo-Pacific Timeline
2026
UK Astute-class rotational deployments to Western Australia begin. DFARS rare earth restrictions phase in.
2027
First Ohio-class SSBN retires. Columbia statutory delivery date missed. Potential deterrence gap opens.
2029
Columbia lead boat (USS District of Columbia) expected delivery (revised). US/UK sub rotations at HMAS Stirling.
2032-35
PLAN targets 435 ships, 9 CSGs. SSN-AUKUS construction begins. PLAN submarine force growing to 80.
2040
Last Ohio-class retires. All 12 Columbia boats must be delivered.
Sources: Navy Lookout CRS RL33153
Ukraine Timeline
2026
155mm production still below 100K/month target. NATO stockpile inadequacy persists. Russia sustaining 4.5M shells/year.
2027
European 2M shells/year target. Rheinmetall 700K/year ramp. New TNT facilities needed.
2028-30
Patriot backlog may begin clearing. European defense industrial base maturation.
Sources: S.2592 Ukraine Act Atlas Institute
Middle East Timeline
2026
Iran nuclear noncompliance continues post-snapback sanctions. Iron Dome interceptor replenishment ongoing.
2027
Tamir interceptor production at R2S facility ramping. David's Sling inventory rebuild.
2028+
Iron Beam (laser) fielding could reduce interceptor consumption. Regional deterrence stabilization (conditional).
Sources: PBS (Iran) Army Recognition
Supply Chain Vulnerability Network
Force-directed graph: nodes are supply chain elements, links show dependencies. Size = criticality, color = risk level. Drag nodes to explore.
Sources: Federal News Network GAO-25-107283 Breaking Defense (SRM) CSIS (rare earths) Microchip USA (semis) ORF America (chips) War on the Rocks